Big Box bulletin

Review of Distribution Activity

Q3 2025

UK Big Box Market Gains Momentum: Q3 2025 Sees Strong Take-Up and Steady Supply.

The UK’s big box, grade A logistics market continued its upward trajectory in Q3 2025, achieving its strongest take-up in three years and marking the third consecutive quarter of growth. Despite supply imbalances, the sector’s resilience is underlined by rising investment volumes and stable prime rents.

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A clear view of the market

Take-up of UK big box*, grade A space continued to perform strongly in Q3 2025, reaching 7.2 million sq ft, the highest level seen since Q3 2022 and 52% higher than Q3 2024. Although this is 6% below the five-year Q3 average (of 7.9 million sq ft), this marks the third successive quarter of growth, highlighting the market’s sustained momentum. The East Midlands remained the most active region, accounting for 39% of activity. Retailers accounted for the highest share of space (42%) from significant lettings to Marks & Spencer, Tesco, and Waitrose.

Availability in Q3 2025 was unchanged from the previous quarter at 55.3 million sq ft, though the number of units on the market fell slightly from 235 to 231. Supply continues to be led by second-hand space which accounts for 44% of the total, followed by speculative units at 40%, and space under construction comprising the remaining 16%. Looking at the total number of available units, the current supply pipeline remains heavily weighted towards smaller units (in the 100,000–399,999 sq ft range), representing approximately 88% of all available units. This imbalance continues to restrict options for occupiers who have large space requirements.

Although the big-box investment market continues to show subdued activity, Q3 transactions reached £389 million, marking a 30% increase compared to Q3 2024. However, volumes remain 48% below the five-year Q3 average. As with previous quarters, this figure is likely to be higher due to deals completing with undisclosed prices as well as additional deal activity still to be confirmed.

Prime headline rents held firm during the quarter, consolidating the gains seen earlier in the year when values rose by an average of 4% across the North West, Scotland, and the South West. This reflects an increasingly resilient market environment.

“Q3 2025 has been a strong period for big box occupier activity, with quarterly take-up reaching its highest level since 2022 and sitting just 6% below the five-year Q3 average, driven largely by retailer demand.

The East Midlands continues to record the highest level of take-up, but this quarter also saw a notable surge in activity in the South East which accounted for almost a quarter of all take-up, its strongest performance since Q4 2023.

Headline rents remain robust, though unchanged since the previous quarter. Overall, the outlook for the sector remains positive, with year-to-date take-up now 9% higher than last year. We predict that take-up activity by the end of 2025 could exceed 2024 levels."

*units over 100,000 sq ft

David Willmer
Principal, Head of Industrial


  • Senior Analyst
  • Market Intelligence

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